Relief Pitchers
March 20, 2008
By: Chris Starbonell
Update! Writer
It’s an old adage, repeatedly exclaimed by fantasy experts every season: don’t draft closers too early. The logic generally stems from the high turnover rate of the position, inconsistencies from year to year and their dimished impact on several categories (strikeouts, wins, etc.). Basically, you do not want to risk a third or fourth-round draft pick on someone with such volatile properties. While this philosophy does carry weight, it is important to note that many fantasy owners take this “don’t draft closers early” mantra too far, mistakenly waiting too long and ending up stuck with the likes of Armando Benitez. Sure, you’ll have plenty of opportunities to add closers throughout the season, but you don’t want to rely on the waiver wire alone. Free agent fantasy additions should be more about deepening your bullpen rather than building one. With that in mind, here are the top 30 closers heading into this season:
1. JONATHAN PAPELBON
Boston Red Sox
2007 Stats: 1-3, 37 SV, 58.1 IP, 1.85 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 84 SO
Comment: No one needs to worry about Papelbon moving to the starting rotation anytime soon. In his second season working in the closer’s role, Papelbon once again put up sick numbers. The World Series Champion Red Sox are going to win a lot of games in 2008, so Papelbon should top the 40 save mark with ease. Draft him with the utmost confidence.
2007 Stats: 1-3, 37 SV, 58.1 IP, 1.85 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 84 SO
Comment: No one needs to worry about Papelbon moving to the starting rotation anytime soon. In his second season working in the closer’s role, Papelbon once again put up sick numbers. The World Series Champion Red Sox are going to win a lot of games in 2008, so Papelbon should top the 40 save mark with ease. Draft him with the utmost confidence.
2. FRANCISCO RODRIGUEZ
Los Angeles Angels
2007 Stats: 5-2, 40 SV, 67.1 IP, 2.81 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 90 SO
Comment: Last season, he sported a career-low 1.25 WHIP and his 2007 ERA was his highest mark since posting a 3.03 ERA in 2003. This might seem like nit-picking, but for Rodriguez, those are just OK numbers. Seeing as he is just 26-years-old, Rodriguez is probably not headed for a decline. But he’ll need to bounce back to re-establish himself as the top of the relief pitching position.
2007 Stats: 5-2, 40 SV, 67.1 IP, 2.81 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 90 SO
Comment: Last season, he sported a career-low 1.25 WHIP and his 2007 ERA was his highest mark since posting a 3.03 ERA in 2003. This might seem like nit-picking, but for Rodriguez, those are just OK numbers. Seeing as he is just 26-years-old, Rodriguez is probably not headed for a decline. But he’ll need to bounce back to re-establish himself as the top of the relief pitching position.
3. J.J. PUTZ
Seattle Mariners
2007 Stats: 6-1, 40 SV, 71.2 IP, 1.38 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, 82 SO
Comment: Most were skeptical about how he would handle ninth-inning duties in 2007 after breaking out in 2006, but Putz once again finished the season as a premiere closer. He was bothered late in the season by arm troubles (tightness in his right triceps) but is presumed to be fine for spring training. Putz will be 31 in Feb., which is a concern since he has only had two great seasons in the big leagues, but those two seasons have been too dominant to ignore.
2007 Stats: 6-1, 40 SV, 71.2 IP, 1.38 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, 82 SO
Comment: Most were skeptical about how he would handle ninth-inning duties in 2007 after breaking out in 2006, but Putz once again finished the season as a premiere closer. He was bothered late in the season by arm troubles (tightness in his right triceps) but is presumed to be fine for spring training. Putz will be 31 in Feb., which is a concern since he has only had two great seasons in the big leagues, but those two seasons have been too dominant to ignore.
4. BOBBY JENKS
Chicago White Sox
2007 Stats: 3-5, 40 SV, 65 IP, 2.77 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 56 SO
Comment: Jenks enjoyed the best season of his career thus far with a fine 2007. He closed the year out especially well, giving up just three earned runs in the final two months of the season. It’s somewhat discouraging that his strikeout numbers dropped noticeably after he whiffed 80 in 2006, but it’s clear that he’s stepped up his game overall. Chicago added Scott Linebrink in the off-season so Jenks should have a better bridge to bring him leads late in games. That should translate to another 40 save season.
2007 Stats: 3-5, 40 SV, 65 IP, 2.77 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 56 SO
Comment: Jenks enjoyed the best season of his career thus far with a fine 2007. He closed the year out especially well, giving up just three earned runs in the final two months of the season. It’s somewhat discouraging that his strikeout numbers dropped noticeably after he whiffed 80 in 2006, but it’s clear that he’s stepped up his game overall. Chicago added Scott Linebrink in the off-season so Jenks should have a better bridge to bring him leads late in games. That should translate to another 40 save season.
5. JOE NATHAN
Minnesota Twins
2007 Stats: 4-2, 37 SV, 71.2 IP, 1.88 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 77 SO
Comment: Nathan is entering his fifth season as the Twins closer and is in walk-year status. As his 2007 suggests, he should be in for a nice-pay day following this season. The Twins know this and they are expected to shop Nathan around to see what they can get for him. It would be a shame if he were dealt to a contending team that acquires him to be a set-up man, particularly if you waste a fantasy draft pick on him before the season began. This presents a bit of risk with Nathan, but if he pitches in the ninth inning for all of 2008, history shows that he’ll finish amongst the top closers in the game.
2007 Stats: 4-2, 37 SV, 71.2 IP, 1.88 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 77 SO
Comment: Nathan is entering his fifth season as the Twins closer and is in walk-year status. As his 2007 suggests, he should be in for a nice-pay day following this season. The Twins know this and they are expected to shop Nathan around to see what they can get for him. It would be a shame if he were dealt to a contending team that acquires him to be a set-up man, particularly if you waste a fantasy draft pick on him before the season began. This presents a bit of risk with Nathan, but if he pitches in the ninth inning for all of 2008, history shows that he’ll finish amongst the top closers in the game.
6. TAKASHI SAITO
Los Angeles Dodgers
2007 Stats: 2-1, 39 SV, 64.1 IP, 1.40 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, 78 SO
Comment: Despite dealing with hamstring and shoulder ailments, Saito put together another impressive season with a dynamite 2007. Saito has had great numbers the past couple years, but he’ll be 38 in February and with Jonathan Broxton breathing down his neck, he’ll have little room for failure. Another negative for Saito this season is the presence of new manager Joe Torre. Torre is notorious for blowing out bullpen arms by overworking his relievers, and with Saito’s age an injury could be imminent. If he’s healthy all season, Saito should again be amongst the best closers in fantasy baseball. Just keep in mind that he comes with some risk.
2007 Stats: 2-1, 39 SV, 64.1 IP, 1.40 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, 78 SO
Comment: Despite dealing with hamstring and shoulder ailments, Saito put together another impressive season with a dynamite 2007. Saito has had great numbers the past couple years, but he’ll be 38 in February and with Jonathan Broxton breathing down his neck, he’ll have little room for failure. Another negative for Saito this season is the presence of new manager Joe Torre. Torre is notorious for blowing out bullpen arms by overworking his relievers, and with Saito’s age an injury could be imminent. If he’s healthy all season, Saito should again be amongst the best closers in fantasy baseball. Just keep in mind that he comes with some risk.
7. BILLY WAGNER
New York Mets
2007 Stats: 2-2, 34 SV, 68.1 IP, 2.63 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 80 SO
Comment: Wagner looked like he was headed for a huge 2007 after a fantastic start (first half: 1-0, 17 SV, 1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 51 SO in 38.1 IP). His second-half, however, was flat-out bad (1-2, 17 SV, 3.90 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 29 SO in 30 IP). His overall season ERA, WHIP and strikeouts were his worst since 2001. Wagner is turning 37 in July, so he may be on the decline. As long as his ERA stays under 3.00 and he accumulates over a strikeout-per-inning, he should remain a nice closer option for the competing Mets in 2008.
2007 Stats: 2-2, 34 SV, 68.1 IP, 2.63 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 80 SO
Comment: Wagner looked like he was headed for a huge 2007 after a fantastic start (first half: 1-0, 17 SV, 1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 51 SO in 38.1 IP). His second-half, however, was flat-out bad (1-2, 17 SV, 3.90 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 29 SO in 30 IP). His overall season ERA, WHIP and strikeouts were his worst since 2001. Wagner is turning 37 in July, so he may be on the decline. As long as his ERA stays under 3.00 and he accumulates over a strikeout-per-inning, he should remain a nice closer option for the competing Mets in 2008.
8. MARIANO RIVERA
New York Yankees
2007 Stats: 3-4, 30 SV, 71.1 IP, 3.15 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 74 SO
Comment: It’s peculiar that Rivera became the highest-paid closer of all time after one of the worst statistical seasons of his career. The fact that he’s 38-years old is a concern, but the Yankees are obviously going to keep him in the closer’s role. He still had solid numbers and has been incredibly reliable in his career. When you’re closing games for a perennial contender like the Yankees, the saves are going to come. Just because he hasn’t had 40 saves in the past two seasons does not mean he can’t reach that mark in 2008.
2007 Stats: 3-4, 30 SV, 71.1 IP, 3.15 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 74 SO
Comment: It’s peculiar that Rivera became the highest-paid closer of all time after one of the worst statistical seasons of his career. The fact that he’s 38-years old is a concern, but the Yankees are obviously going to keep him in the closer’s role. He still had solid numbers and has been incredibly reliable in his career. When you’re closing games for a perennial contender like the Yankees, the saves are going to come. Just because he hasn’t had 40 saves in the past two seasons does not mean he can’t reach that mark in 2008.
9. TREVOR HOFFMAN
San Diego Padres
2007 Stats: 4-5, 42 SV, 57.1 IP, 2.98 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 44 SO
Comment: Hoffman finished the regular season very poorly, giving up 12 ER in 21.1 innings during the final two months of the season, including blown saves in the Padres final two games — effectively ending their 2007 season. This is the last year of his current contract, so Hoffman will probably have to turn in another effective season in order to prove that he can still close games. That being said, the Padres aren’t going to shy away from him in the ninth inning if he has a couple of bad games, so he should be safe to use in 2008.
2007 Stats: 4-5, 42 SV, 57.1 IP, 2.98 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 44 SO
Comment: Hoffman finished the regular season very poorly, giving up 12 ER in 21.1 innings during the final two months of the season, including blown saves in the Padres final two games — effectively ending their 2007 season. This is the last year of his current contract, so Hoffman will probably have to turn in another effective season in order to prove that he can still close games. That being said, the Padres aren’t going to shy away from him in the ninth inning if he has a couple of bad games, so he should be safe to use in 2008.
10. JOSE VALVERDE
Houston Astros
2007 Stats: 1-4, 47 SV, 64.2 IP, 2.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 78 SO
Comment: Enjoyed the best season of his career in 2007 with the Diamondbacks. Now with the Astros, Valverde will have a hard-time breaking 40 saves for the second consecutive year. Aside from his inconsistency issues prior to this season, he’s going from an up-and-coming team that went to the NLCS in 2007, to a team with that was among the worst in baseball. The Astros have improved their offense on paper, so they shouldn’t be as bad as they were in 2008. If Valverde can stay healthy, he should be able to garner 30-plus saves with solid overall numbers.
2007 Stats: 1-4, 47 SV, 64.2 IP, 2.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 78 SO
Comment: Enjoyed the best season of his career in 2007 with the Diamondbacks. Now with the Astros, Valverde will have a hard-time breaking 40 saves for the second consecutive year. Aside from his inconsistency issues prior to this season, he’s going from an up-and-coming team that went to the NLCS in 2007, to a team with that was among the worst in baseball. The Astros have improved their offense on paper, so they shouldn’t be as bad as they were in 2008. If Valverde can stay healthy, he should be able to garner 30-plus saves with solid overall numbers.
11. CHAD CORDERO
Washington National
2007 Stats: 3-3, 37 SV, 75 IP, 3.36 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 62 SO
Comment: The fantasy community was pretty disappointed with Cordero’s 2007 season given his talent. But the guy still ended up with 37 saves on the Washington Nationals (who won only 73 games all season). Sure the 1.39 WHIP was ugly last season, but the Nationals have made it clear that Cordero is still the closer, no matter how much he struggles. That’s encouraging heading into 2008 as Washington should win more games thanks to their fervent activity this off-season. 40 saves may actually be a real possibility this season and at age 25 (he’ll be 26 in March), Cordero is still capable of turning in a brilliant season.
2007 Stats: 3-3, 37 SV, 75 IP, 3.36 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 62 SO
Comment: The fantasy community was pretty disappointed with Cordero’s 2007 season given his talent. But the guy still ended up with 37 saves on the Washington Nationals (who won only 73 games all season). Sure the 1.39 WHIP was ugly last season, but the Nationals have made it clear that Cordero is still the closer, no matter how much he struggles. That’s encouraging heading into 2008 as Washington should win more games thanks to their fervent activity this off-season. 40 saves may actually be a real possibility this season and at age 25 (he’ll be 26 in March), Cordero is still capable of turning in a brilliant season.
12. FRANCISCO CORDERO
Cincinnati Reds
2007 Stats: 0-4, 52 SV, 63.2 IP, 2.98 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 86 SO
Comment: Cordero picked the perfect time to have the best season of his career as he cashed in on a deal with the Reds. His numbers seem bound to suffer at least a little as he’s moving to one of the smallest home-run parks in all of baseball. The Reds seem committed to winning as evidenced by the signing of manager Dusty Baker, but who knows how much they’ll improve on a 72-win season. The good thing about Cordero is that he should be in no jeopardy of losing the closer’s gig thanks to the big contract. So long as you understand that his ERA may rise in the smaller home stadium, feel free to draft Cordero and expect 30-plus saves this season.
2007 Stats: 0-4, 52 SV, 63.2 IP, 2.98 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 86 SO
Comment: Cordero picked the perfect time to have the best season of his career as he cashed in on a deal with the Reds. His numbers seem bound to suffer at least a little as he’s moving to one of the smallest home-run parks in all of baseball. The Reds seem committed to winning as evidenced by the signing of manager Dusty Baker, but who knows how much they’ll improve on a 72-win season. The good thing about Cordero is that he should be in no jeopardy of losing the closer’s gig thanks to the big contract. So long as you understand that his ERA may rise in the smaller home stadium, feel free to draft Cordero and expect 30-plus saves this season.
13. MANUEL CORPAS
Colorado Rockies
2007 Stats: 4-2, 19 SV, 78 IP, 2.08 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 58 SO
Comment: Corpas took over closing duties for three-time All Star Brian Fuentes in July and he didn’t look back when given the keys to the ninth-inning gig. He finished the season with an impressive overall stat-line. As of right now, it appears as if the Rockies are going to go with Corpas as their closer to start 2008. Of course, should he falter, Colorado could always go back to Fuentes, who has 85 career saves. This presents a great risk for fantasy owners looking to draft Corpas. But as long as he maintains his effectiveness from 2007 and staves off Fuentes, he should be a great option at the relief pitching positions for the National League Champion Rockies.
2007 Stats: 4-2, 19 SV, 78 IP, 2.08 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 58 SO
Comment: Corpas took over closing duties for three-time All Star Brian Fuentes in July and he didn’t look back when given the keys to the ninth-inning gig. He finished the season with an impressive overall stat-line. As of right now, it appears as if the Rockies are going to go with Corpas as their closer to start 2008. Of course, should he falter, Colorado could always go back to Fuentes, who has 85 career saves. This presents a great risk for fantasy owners looking to draft Corpas. But as long as he maintains his effectiveness from 2007 and staves off Fuentes, he should be a great option at the relief pitching positions for the National League Champion Rockies.
14. MATT CAPPS
Pittsburgh Pirates
2007 Stats: 4-7, 18 SV, 79 IP, 2.28 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 64 SO
Comment: Capps big-frame proved intimidating in 2007 as he produced great numbers while being named the closer in June. At age 24, Capps looks like the real deal and Pittsburgh has heard plenty of teams come calling about his services. The Pirates are reportedly going to try to lock him up with a multi-year contract. Should Capps remain a closer in Pittsburgh, he probably won’t see 40 saves, but he should provide another great season overall.
2007 Stats: 4-7, 18 SV, 79 IP, 2.28 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 64 SO
Comment: Capps big-frame proved intimidating in 2007 as he produced great numbers while being named the closer in June. At age 24, Capps looks like the real deal and Pittsburgh has heard plenty of teams come calling about his services. The Pirates are reportedly going to try to lock him up with a multi-year contract. Should Capps remain a closer in Pittsburgh, he probably won’t see 40 saves, but he should provide another great season overall.
15. RAFAEL SORIANO
Atlanta Braves
2007 Season: 3-3, 9 SV, 72 IP, 3.00 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 70 SO
Comment: While he only has 13 career saves, Soriano is being thrust into the closer’s role for Atlanta in 2008. He’s got great stuff and fantasy owners should not shy away from him just because of his inexperience. His overall season line of 2007 looks pretty good, but it does not tell the whole story. When pitching in the ninth inning, he held opposing batters to an insane .099 batting average. The Braves might have a tough time putting him in a situation to get 40 saves, but Soriano has the make-up to have a big season and make the most of his save opportunities.
2007 Season: 3-3, 9 SV, 72 IP, 3.00 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 70 SO
Comment: While he only has 13 career saves, Soriano is being thrust into the closer’s role for Atlanta in 2008. He’s got great stuff and fantasy owners should not shy away from him just because of his inexperience. His overall season line of 2007 looks pretty good, but it does not tell the whole story. When pitching in the ninth inning, he held opposing batters to an insane .099 batting average. The Braves might have a tough time putting him in a situation to get 40 saves, but Soriano has the make-up to have a big season and make the most of his save opportunities.
16. JOAKIM SORIA
Kansas City Royals
2007 Stats: 2-3, 17 SV, 69 IP, 2.48 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 75 SO
Comment: Soria enjoyed an impressive rookie campaign in 2007, being used in the closer’s role while Octavio Dotel was out before being given the job for good following Dotel’s trade to Atlanta. He’s turning 24 in May and has a bright future ahead of him. The Royals may not look like a team good enough to give him a ton of save chances, but don’t judge a book by its cover. The team had 36 saves last season from seven different players, meaning that Soria should be good for about 30 if he stays healthy.
2007 Stats: 2-3, 17 SV, 69 IP, 2.48 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 75 SO
Comment: Soria enjoyed an impressive rookie campaign in 2007, being used in the closer’s role while Octavio Dotel was out before being given the job for good following Dotel’s trade to Atlanta. He’s turning 24 in May and has a bright future ahead of him. The Royals may not look like a team good enough to give him a ton of save chances, but don’t judge a book by its cover. The team had 36 saves last season from seven different players, meaning that Soria should be good for about 30 if he stays healthy.
17. JASON ISRINGHAUSEN
St. Louis Cardinals
2007 Stats: 4-0, 32 SV, 65.1 IP, 2.48 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 54 SO
Comment: Following a let down 2006, in which Isringhausen dealt with injury virtually all season, the veteran closer came back strong in 2007. The Cardinals picked up their option on Izzy for the 2008 season and he is due to be a free agent after this season. He’s no spring chicken (35-years old), but Isringhausen could earn a multi-year deal following this season if he turns in another solid campaign.
2007 Stats: 4-0, 32 SV, 65.1 IP, 2.48 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 54 SO
Comment: Following a let down 2006, in which Isringhausen dealt with injury virtually all season, the veteran closer came back strong in 2007. The Cardinals picked up their option on Izzy for the 2008 season and he is due to be a free agent after this season. He’s no spring chicken (35-years old), but Isringhausen could earn a multi-year deal following this season if he turns in another solid campaign.
18. HUSTON STREET
Oakland Athletics
2007 Stats: 5-2, 16 SV, 50 IP, 2.88 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 63 SO
Comment: The 2005 AL Rookie of the Year was rather injury-prone in 2007 after two straight seasons of pitching 70-plus innings. He’s got the talent to be a top closer, but the A’s are no longer the competitive team they once were, meaning less save chances for Street. Since Oakland seems to be chugging towards a rebuilding era, Street may be dealt at some point. If he lands a closer’s job elsewhere, his value would gain a nice boost. Of course, any team that may acquire him could put Street in a set-up role.
2007 Stats: 5-2, 16 SV, 50 IP, 2.88 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 63 SO
Comment: The 2005 AL Rookie of the Year was rather injury-prone in 2007 after two straight seasons of pitching 70-plus innings. He’s got the talent to be a top closer, but the A’s are no longer the competitive team they once were, meaning less save chances for Street. Since Oakland seems to be chugging towards a rebuilding era, Street may be dealt at some point. If he lands a closer’s job elsewhere, his value would gain a nice boost. Of course, any team that may acquire him could put Street in a set-up role.
19. BRAD LIDGE
Philadelphia Phillies
2007 Stats: 5-3, 19 SV, 67 IP, 3.36 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 88 SO
Comment: The Phillies got Lidge for cheap in the off-season, but while many are giddy at the prospects of Lidge returning to his former dominant self, fantasy owners should proceed with caution. Keep in mind that Lidge will now be playing home games in tiny Citizen’s Bank Park. If the fragility of his psyche is still an issue, he could be a game-winning HR away from a total implosion. Philadelphia still has Tom Gordon and Brett Myers on staff, so they have alternatives to Lidge if he can’t stand the pressure of playing for the reigning NL East Champion Phillies.
2007 Stats: 5-3, 19 SV, 67 IP, 3.36 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 88 SO
Comment: The Phillies got Lidge for cheap in the off-season, but while many are giddy at the prospects of Lidge returning to his former dominant self, fantasy owners should proceed with caution. Keep in mind that Lidge will now be playing home games in tiny Citizen’s Bank Park. If the fragility of his psyche is still an issue, he could be a game-winning HR away from a total implosion. Philadelphia still has Tom Gordon and Brett Myers on staff, so they have alternatives to Lidge if he can’t stand the pressure of playing for the reigning NL East Champion Phillies.
20. ERIC GAGNE
Milwaukee Brewers
2007 Stats: 4-2, 16 SV, 52 IP, 3.81 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 51 SO
Comment: Gagne was signed to close games for the Brewers, but those of us who witnessed his awful showing in Boston last season (2-2, 0 SV, 6.75 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, 22 SO in 18.7 IP) know that he has meltdown potential. It’s not encouraging that Milwaukee has Derrick Turnbow, David Riske and Salomon Torres throwing in the bullpen; all of them have closing experience. Since Gagne is signed to a one-year deal, the team may not feel it necessary to stick with him in the closer’s role if he struggles mightily, particularly if they are competing for the playoffs. He’ll probably have a decent leash on the job, but have some insurance on your roster in case he falters.
2007 Stats: 4-2, 16 SV, 52 IP, 3.81 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 51 SO
Comment: Gagne was signed to close games for the Brewers, but those of us who witnessed his awful showing in Boston last season (2-2, 0 SV, 6.75 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, 22 SO in 18.7 IP) know that he has meltdown potential. It’s not encouraging that Milwaukee has Derrick Turnbow, David Riske and Salomon Torres throwing in the bullpen; all of them have closing experience. Since Gagne is signed to a one-year deal, the team may not feel it necessary to stick with him in the closer’s role if he struggles mightily, particularly if they are competing for the playoffs. He’ll probably have a decent leash on the job, but have some insurance on your roster in case he falters.
21. BRIAN WILSON
San Francisco Giants
2007 Stats: 1-2, 6 SV, 23.2 IP, 2.28 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 18 SO
Comment: The future is now for Brian Wilson, who will battle Brad Hennessey and Tyler Walker for the closer’s gig in San Francisco. He was effective last season when given the opportunity to close and this spring training, there shouldn’t be much of a competition. Wilson is clearly the better option in the bullpen and he should begin the season as the Giants closer.
2007 Stats: 1-2, 6 SV, 23.2 IP, 2.28 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 18 SO
Comment: The future is now for Brian Wilson, who will battle Brad Hennessey and Tyler Walker for the closer’s gig in San Francisco. He was effective last season when given the opportunity to close and this spring training, there shouldn’t be much of a competition. Wilson is clearly the better option in the bullpen and he should begin the season as the Giants closer.
22. TONY PENA
Arizona Diamondbacks
2007 Stats: 5-4, 2 SV, 85.1 IP, 3.27 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 63 SO
Comment: The Diamondbacks established themselves as a competitive force in the NL West and with their group of young, gifted players, they should remain competitive in 2008. One of those young stars, Tony Pena, would be a terrific option to fill the vacant closer’s seat left by traded reliever Jose Valverde. In his first full-season, Pena opened eyes with his ability to get hitters out. Unfortunately, Diamondbacks manager Bob Melvin named Brandon Lyon the closer heading into spring training, but given Pena’s talent, don’t be surprised if he usurps Lyon in the role.
2007 Stats: 5-4, 2 SV, 85.1 IP, 3.27 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 63 SO
Comment: The Diamondbacks established themselves as a competitive force in the NL West and with their group of young, gifted players, they should remain competitive in 2008. One of those young stars, Tony Pena, would be a terrific option to fill the vacant closer’s seat left by traded reliever Jose Valverde. In his first full-season, Pena opened eyes with his ability to get hitters out. Unfortunately, Diamondbacks manager Bob Melvin named Brandon Lyon the closer heading into spring training, but given Pena’s talent, don’t be surprised if he usurps Lyon in the role.
23. CARLOS MARMOL
Chicago Cubs
2007 Stats: 5-1, 69.2 IP, 1.43 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 96 SO
Comment: We all know that the Cubs re-signed Kerry Wood to a one-year deal with the intention of trying him out as their closer. But judging from the past few seasons, banking on Kerry Wood to be healthy all year is a loser’s bet. Anyone who saw the Cubs bullpen last season knows that Marmol was far and away their best pitcher. If Wood has any issues staying healthy (and he will), Marmol would be the favorite to collect saves for the Cubs. Even as a set-up man, he’s great for fantasy purposes.
2007 Stats: 5-1, 69.2 IP, 1.43 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 96 SO
Comment: We all know that the Cubs re-signed Kerry Wood to a one-year deal with the intention of trying him out as their closer. But judging from the past few seasons, banking on Kerry Wood to be healthy all year is a loser’s bet. Anyone who saw the Cubs bullpen last season knows that Marmol was far and away their best pitcher. If Wood has any issues staying healthy (and he will), Marmol would be the favorite to collect saves for the Cubs. Even as a set-up man, he’s great for fantasy purposes.
24. TODD JONES
Detroit Tigers
2007 Stats: 1-4, 38 SV, 61.1 IP, 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 33 SO
Comment: Jones signed a one-year, $7 million contract to stay with Detroit in 2008, but that was probably more out of desperation on Detroit’s part. With Joel Zumaya out at least half the season, the Tigers had to retain Jones. The good thing for fantasy owners here is that manager Jim Leyland has stuck by Jones through tough times even when Zumaya and Fernando Rodney were clearly outperforming him. There’s no reason to think Leyland won’t continue to stand by Jones.
2007 Stats: 1-4, 38 SV, 61.1 IP, 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 33 SO
Comment: Jones signed a one-year, $7 million contract to stay with Detroit in 2008, but that was probably more out of desperation on Detroit’s part. With Joel Zumaya out at least half the season, the Tigers had to retain Jones. The good thing for fantasy owners here is that manager Jim Leyland has stuck by Jones through tough times even when Zumaya and Fernando Rodney were clearly outperforming him. There’s no reason to think Leyland won’t continue to stand by Jones.
25. JONATHAN BROXTON
Los Angeles Dodgers
2007 Stats: 4-4, 2 SV, 82 IP, 2.85 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 99 SO
Comment: Dodgers closer Takashi Saito is pushing 40 and showed some fragility in 2007. If Saito goes down because of injury, Broxton could finally get his shot to close full-time in 2008. The monstrous Broxton has the talent to be a top closer for fantasy owners, though if new L.A. manager Joe Torre does indeed blows out Saito’s arm, it’s possible that Broxton would be next on Joe’s hit list.
2007 Stats: 4-4, 2 SV, 82 IP, 2.85 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 99 SO
Comment: Dodgers closer Takashi Saito is pushing 40 and showed some fragility in 2007. If Saito goes down because of injury, Broxton could finally get his shot to close full-time in 2008. The monstrous Broxton has the talent to be a top closer for fantasy owners, though if new L.A. manager Joe Torre does indeed blows out Saito’s arm, it’s possible that Broxton would be next on Joe’s hit list.
26. JOE BOROWSKI
Cleveland Indians
2007 Stats: 4-5, 65.2 IP, 5.07 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 58 SO
Comment: He led the AL in saves last season, but Borowski’s age (37 in May) and season ERA in 2007 bode poorly for his chances in 2008. He also has a ton of competition waiting to take his job in Mashide Kobayashi, Rafael Perez and Rafael Betancourt. Let’s face it, the Indians bullpen was a strength last season and it had little to do with Borowski’s adventurous style of garnering saves. The only good thing going for him is the fact that Indians manager Eric Wedge showed tremendous loyalty to Borowski in 2007. If Borowski struggles, Wedge could do the same in 2008.
2007 Stats: 4-5, 65.2 IP, 5.07 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 58 SO
Comment: He led the AL in saves last season, but Borowski’s age (37 in May) and season ERA in 2007 bode poorly for his chances in 2008. He also has a ton of competition waiting to take his job in Mashide Kobayashi, Rafael Perez and Rafael Betancourt. Let’s face it, the Indians bullpen was a strength last season and it had little to do with Borowski’s adventurous style of garnering saves. The only good thing going for him is the fact that Indians manager Eric Wedge showed tremendous loyalty to Borowski in 2007. If Borowski struggles, Wedge could do the same in 2008.
27. C.J. WILSON
Texas Rangers
2007 Stats: 2-1, 12 SV, 68.1 IP, 3.03 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 63 SO
Comment: Wilson is the front-runner for the closer’s job in Texas. He needs to be tracked in spring training as the Rangers may decide to put Joaquin Benoit in the role if Wilson struggles, but that seems a long shot to happen. Texas should be considerably better in 2008 thanks to their busy off-season that saw them make improvements to their offense. Wilson hit his peak in July, when he gave up all of two ER all month long, before stumbling some at the end of the season. He could far exceed his draft day value in 2008 so fantasy owners can consider him a sleeper for saves.
2007 Stats: 2-1, 12 SV, 68.1 IP, 3.03 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 63 SO
Comment: Wilson is the front-runner for the closer’s job in Texas. He needs to be tracked in spring training as the Rangers may decide to put Joaquin Benoit in the role if Wilson struggles, but that seems a long shot to happen. Texas should be considerably better in 2008 thanks to their busy off-season that saw them make improvements to their offense. Wilson hit his peak in July, when he gave up all of two ER all month long, before stumbling some at the end of the season. He could far exceed his draft day value in 2008 so fantasy owners can consider him a sleeper for saves.
28. KEVIN GREGG
Florida Marlins
2007 Stats: 0-5, 32 SV, 84 IP, 3.54 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 87 SO
Comment: Gregg did a respectable job as the team’s closer for almost all of 2007, but he is in the unfortunate circumstance of being in a bullpen loaded with potential closers. Between Matt Lindstrom, Taylor Tankersley and Lee Gardner, Gregg will have to play pretty well in order to hold onto the role. Judging by his 6.23 ERA in Sept., Gregg may lose his grip on the ninth inning gig sooner than later.
2007 Stats: 0-5, 32 SV, 84 IP, 3.54 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 87 SO
Comment: Gregg did a respectable job as the team’s closer for almost all of 2007, but he is in the unfortunate circumstance of being in a bullpen loaded with potential closers. Between Matt Lindstrom, Taylor Tankersley and Lee Gardner, Gregg will have to play pretty well in order to hold onto the role. Judging by his 6.23 ERA in Sept., Gregg may lose his grip on the ninth inning gig sooner than later.
29. KERRY WOOD
Chicago Cubs
2007 Stats: 1-1, 0 SV, 24.1 IP, 3.33 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 24 SO
Comment: Wood signed a one-year, $4.2 million contract to stay with the Cubs in 2008, and the hope in Chicago is that he develops into a devastating bullpen arm. While many believe that the Cubs are grooming Wood to be their closer, it’s hard to imagine them giving him the job right out of spring training unless he can prove to them that he can handle the workload. Perhaps he has a tremendous Spring and silences his critics, but since the Cubs have guys who can close — like Carlos Marmol and Bob Howry — it’s more likely that if he does earn the closer’s job, it’ll be some time during the regular season.
2007 Stats: 1-1, 0 SV, 24.1 IP, 3.33 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 24 SO
Comment: Wood signed a one-year, $4.2 million contract to stay with the Cubs in 2008, and the hope in Chicago is that he develops into a devastating bullpen arm. While many believe that the Cubs are grooming Wood to be their closer, it’s hard to imagine them giving him the job right out of spring training unless he can prove to them that he can handle the workload. Perhaps he has a tremendous Spring and silences his critics, but since the Cubs have guys who can close — like Carlos Marmol and Bob Howry — it’s more likely that if he does earn the closer’s job, it’ll be some time during the regular season.
30. HEATH BELL
San Diego Padres
2007 Stats: 6-4, 2 SV, 93.2 IP, 2.02 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 102 SO
Comment: Bell did an incredible job in his first season with the San Diego Padres, becoming a reliable bridge to future Hall-of-Famer Trevor Hoffman. Bell isn’t in any position to usurp Hoffman, but at age 40, who knows what can happen. Bell was never really a great pitcher before joining the Padres, but he’s clearly found a niche in San Diego.
WALK-YEAR
FRANCISCO RODRIGUEZ
Los Angeles Angels
Comment: K-Rod is going to shatter the salary mark for highest-paid closer in baseball. The Angels would be fools to let him get away.
Los Angeles Angels
Comment: K-Rod is going to shatter the salary mark for highest-paid closer in baseball. The Angels would be fools to let him get away.
END OF THE ROAD
TODD JONES
Detroit Tigers
Comment: With the way he’s looked the last couple of years, retirement may be just around the corner (especially if Detroit wins a World Series this season).
Detroit Tigers
Comment: With the way he’s looked the last couple of years, retirement may be just around the corner (especially if Detroit wins a World Series this season).
FAT CONTRACT
FRANCISCO CORDERO
Cincinnati Reds
Comment: He hit the free agent pool as the most sought-after reliever in baseball and signed a four-year, $46 million contract.
Cincinnati Reds
Comment: He hit the free agent pool as the most sought-after reliever in baseball and signed a four-year, $46 million contract.
PROSPECT WATCH
HUMBERTO SANCHEZ
New York Yankees
Comment: Sanchez underwent Tommy John surgery in April 2006 and might become the Joba Chamberlain of 2008 for the Yankees as a starter-turned-reliever. Sanchez has tremendous talent.
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